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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-03 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,197.41 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 0.3% | 2h | 6.2d ago · 38× | 71% ±21 | 40% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 32 | 43% ±9 | 71% ±21 | 87% ±27 | 92% ±31 | 7h | 1.19% | 1.56% | 110 → 3 | |
| at post · 78,889 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 78,818.54 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 58× | 87% ±18 | 40% ±15 | 9% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 44 | 74% ±10 | 88% ±18 | 91% ±28 | 93% ±37 | 1h | 1.36% | 1.06% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 77,136.69–78,424.64 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 1.4% | 16h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 64% ±13 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 97 | 26% ±5 | 64% ±13 | 78% ±20 | 82% ±28 | 11h | 1.44% | 0.84% | 295 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,170.64 (-0.9%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 21h | 2.1d ago · 72× | 41% ±17 | 40% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 52 | 13% ±5 | 42% ±17 | 65% ±30 | 76% ±42 | 1.5d | 1.24% | 1.27% | 188 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,690.27–77,716.27 (-1.5%) | 4.5 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 21% ±11 | 45% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±11 | 44% ±24 | 53% ±37 | 4.1d | 1.33% | 0.93% | 305 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 76,129.43–76,156.98 (-3.5%) | 11 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.1d ago · 115× | 5% ±4 | 42% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±12 | 33% ±22 | 6.3d | 1.28% | 1.27% | 758 → 18 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,647.79 (-4.1%) | 13 | 1.9% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 5% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 460 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,401.64–73,659.23 (-6.6%) | 20 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±13 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 96 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,500.07 (-8.1%) | 25 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 15% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 529 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 78,889 | 81,550.56 | 77,690.27 | expired | +1.28% |