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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 79,197.41 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 0.4% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 47% ±20 | 42% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 53% ±17 | 33 | 13% ±5 | 48% ±20 | 72% ±31 | 83% ±36 | 1.0d | 1.23% | 1.49% | 149 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 78,861.68 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 67× | 71% ±15 | 54% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 38% ±12 | 58 | 45% ±7 | 72% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 87% ±29 | 6h | 1.60% | 0.98% | 211 → 5 | |
| at post · 78,504.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 77,136.69–78,424.64 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 92% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 97 | 75% ±6 | 92% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 95% ±19 | 1h | 1.44% | 0.84% | 225 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,170.64 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 2.4% | 23h | 2.2d ago · 72× | 74% ±17 | 40% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 52 | 47% ±8 | 75% ±17 | 84% ±25 | 90% ±29 | 6h | 1.24% | 1.27% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,702.02–77,716.27 (-1.0%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 48% ±17 | 45% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 14% ±5 | 47% ±17 | 65% ±27 | 73% ±39 | 1.3d | 1.33% | 0.93% | 207 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 76,129.43–76,218.72 (-2.9%) | 8.0 | 2.2% | 17h | 1.1d ago · 115× | 7% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 102 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±13 | 40% ±23 | 5.4d | 1.28% | 1.27% | 707 → 17 | |
| 7D VAL | 75,647.79 (-3.6%) | 10 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 100× | 6% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±14 | 39% ±26 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.41% | 586 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,401.64–73,659.23 (-6.2%) | 17 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | 41% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.22% | 138 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,500.07 (-7.6%) | 21 | 0.8% | 2h | 20.9d ago · 37× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 631 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 78,504.9 | 77,702.02 | 79,337.42 | stop | -2.07% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 78,504.9 | 77,716.27 | 80,402.93 | stop | -2.07% |