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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 82,053.53–82,191.84 (+1.5%) | 3.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 33% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 79 | 7% ±2 | 33% ±10 | 61% ±18 | 74% ±25 | 1.9d | 1.48% | 1.02% | 492 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 81,333.72 (+0.6%) | 1.2 | 2.4% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 117× | 74% ±12 | 41% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 49% ±9 | 108 | 50% ±5 | 74% ±12 | 87% ±16 | 91% ±20 | 5h | 1.37% | 1.05% | 327 → 8 | |
| at post · 80,846.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 80,798.72 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 93% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 12% ±8 | 43% ±11 | 72 | 76% ±6 | 93% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.17% | 0.82% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 80,392.44 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 1.5% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 67% ±13 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 39% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 81% ±18 | 86% ±24 | 8h | 1.61% | 1.41% | 328 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,859.78 (-1.2%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 12h | 7.1d ago · 36× | 51% ±20 | 44% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 13% ±5 | 51% ±20 | 81% ±27 | 92% ±26 | 1.0d | 1.48% | 0.82% | 150 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 77,261.97–78,499.03 (-2.9%) | 5.9 | 2.2% | 18h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 20% ±9 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±9 | 42% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 4.3d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 451 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 78,291.1 (-3.2%) | 6.5 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 21.2d ago · 56× | 11% ±6 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±24 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 666 → 16 | |
| 30D POC | 77,694.94 (-3.9%) | 8.0 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 10% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 22% ±18 | 37% ±33 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 351 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,798.24 (-8.7%) | 18 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 764 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 71,200.43–73,550.83 (-9.0%) | 18 | 0.4% | 1h | 8.3d ago · 46× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 18% ±44 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.22% | 142 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 80,846.3 | 82,191.84 | 78,291.1 | expired | -0.85% |