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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 82,191.84 (+2.8%) | 5.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 20% ±8 | 51% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 57% ±25 | 4.8d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 614 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,868.96 (+2.4%) | 5.1 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 89× | 20% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 79 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 46% ±16 | 61% ±24 | 3.6d | 1.44% | 1.07% | 689 → 16 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 80,798.72–80,816.94 (+1.0%) | 2.2 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 53% ±15 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 108 | 17% ±5 | 53% ±15 | 75% ±23 | 85% ±29 | 21h | 1.51% | 0.91% | 250 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 80,725.72–81,344.24 (+0.9%) | 2.0 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 1.0d ago · 79× | 57% ±16 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 76 | 23% ±5 | 57% ±16 | 80% ±22 | 90% ±24 | 18h | 1.69% | 1.22% | 233 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 80,170.96 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.2% | 19h | 1.4d ago · 76× | 88% ±13 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 59 | 71% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 97% ±21 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.13% | 141 → 3 | |
| at post · 79,967.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 79,859.78 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.8% | 12h | 7.2d ago · 36× | 90% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 80% ±9 | 90% ±15 | 93% ±23 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.48% | 0.82% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 77,261.97–78,499.03 (-1.8%) | 3.9 | 2.1% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 32% ±11 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 5% ±2 | 32% ±11 | 51% ±20 | 70% ±28 | 2.8d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 435 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 78,450.32 (-1.9%) | 4.1 | 2.3% | 21h | 1.0d ago · 57× | 24% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 54% ±31 | 5.7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 431 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 77,694.94 (-2.8%) | 6.1 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 16% ±10 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±10 | 32% ±22 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 329 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,798.24 (-7.7%) | 16 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 18% ±17 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 791 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 71,200.43–73,550.83 (-8.0%) | 17 | 0.4% | 58m | 1.0d ago · 47× | 1% ±4 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±10 | 18% ±38 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.22% | 156 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 79,967.1 | 78,269.1 | 80,816.94 | stop | +1.12% |