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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 82,191.84 (+1.9%) | 4.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 28% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±10 | 54% ±19 | 68% ±26 | 2.5d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 494 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,758.22 (+1.4%) | 3.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.9d ago · 89× | 32% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 80 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 60% ±18 | 72% ±25 | 1.9d | 1.45% | 1.05% | 488 → 12 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,743.12–80,798.72 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 86% ±10 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 108 | 70% ±5 | 86% ±10 | 94% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 1.51% | 0.91% | 269 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 80,725.72–81,344.24 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 78× | 88% ±12 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 76 | 79% ±6 | 88% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 1.69% | 1.22% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 80,656.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 80,097.14 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 58% ±13 | 62% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 27% ±5 | 59% ±13 | 77% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 14h | 1.61% | 1.41% | 345 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 79,859.78 (-1.0%) | 2.2 | 1.7% | 12h | 7.1d ago · 36× | 51% ±20 | 44% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 16% ±6 | 52% ±20 | 83% ±26 | 93% ±29 | 22h | 1.48% | 0.82% | 141 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 77,261.97–78,499.03 (-2.7%) | 5.9 | 2.0% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 21% ±9 | 55% ±10 | 18% ±8 | 27% ±9 | 99 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±9 | 42% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 4.3d | 1.60% | 0.84% | 454 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 78,450.32 (-2.7%) | 6.1 | 2.2% | 20h | 21.2d ago · 56× | 12% ±6 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 27% ±15 | 39% ±25 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.93% | 634 → 15 | |
| 30D POC | 77,694.94 (-3.7%) | 8.2 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 10% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 22% ±18 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 358 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,798.24 (-8.5%) | 19 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±17 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 753 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 71,076.72–73,427.12 (-9.0%) | 20 | 0.3% | 38m | 8.3d ago · 46× | 1% ±4 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 19% ±44 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.22% | 123 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 80,656.8 | 80,097.14 | 81,758.22 | target | +1.22% |
| 14d | POC | short | 80,656.8 | 78,450.32 | 82,191.84 | expired | +1.22% |