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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 81,486.36–81,689.65 (+1.0%) | 1.6 | 3.3% | 23h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 60% ±13 | 50% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 80 | 28% ±5 | 60% ±13 | 77% ±19 | 84% ±25 | 14h | 1.49% | 1.01% | 336 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,755.75–80,760.42 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 88% ±10 | 45% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 109 | 75% ±5 | 88% ±10 | 95% ±11 | 98% ±12 | 1h | 1.55% | 0.91% | 258 → 6 | |
| at post · 80,682.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 80,244.29 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 7.1d ago · 36× | 79% ±18 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 63% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 91% ±21 | 95% ±25 | 2h | 1.57% | 0.87% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,725.41 (-1.2%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 50% ±13 | 61% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 35% ±10 | 86 | 18% ±4 | 50% ±13 | 70% ±20 | 76% ±28 | 1.0d | 1.60% | 1.41% | 367 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,411.55 (-1.6%) | 2.6 | 2.1% | 12h | 21.2d ago · 56× | 41% ±14 | 41% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 54% ±14 | 51 | 10% ±3 | 41% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 1.8d | 1.29% | 1.88% | 289 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-2.9%) | 4.7 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 26% ±10 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 3% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 46% ±19 | 66% ±28 | 3.6d | 1.52% | 0.84% | 469 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 77,707.73 (-3.7%) | 6.0 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 16% ±10 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 31% ±21 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 342 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,596.87 (-7.5%) | 12 | 1.9% | 16h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 22% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 820 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 80,682.2 | 79,725.41 | 81,486.36 | target | +2.09% |
| 14d | POC | short | 80,682.2 | 79,411.55 | 81,689.65 | target | +2.09% |