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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 81,486.36–81,686.58 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 3.4% | 24h | 1.7d ago · 89× | 58% ±13 | 50% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 80 | 26% ±5 | 58% ±13 | 75% ±20 | 83% ±26 | 16h | 1.49% | 1.01% | 325 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,755.75–80,801.44 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 2.0d | 1.6d ago · 117× | 86% ±10 | 45% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 109 | 70% ±5 | 86% ±10 | 94% ±12 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 1.55% | 0.91% | 277 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 80,627.16–81,392.92 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 1.1d ago · 79× | 89% ±12 | 55% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 77 | 81% ±6 | 89% ±12 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±19 | 1h | 1.65% | 1.17% | 169 → 4 | |
| at post · 80,606.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 80,244.29 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 7.2d ago · 36× | 84% ±17 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 69% ±9 | 84% ±17 | 93% ±21 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 1.57% | 0.87% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,800.34 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 3.5% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 58% ±13 | 61% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 35% ±10 | 86 | 26% ±5 | 58% ±13 | 76% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 15h | 1.60% | 1.41% | 347 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,459.45 (-1.4%) | 2.2 | 2.3% | 14h | 1.1d ago · 57× | 45% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 54% ±14 | 51 | 13% ±4 | 45% ±15 | 58% ±27 | 67% ±38 | 1.3d | 1.29% | 1.88% | 241 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-2.8%) | 4.4 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 27% ±10 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 47% ±19 | 66% ±28 | 3.6d | 1.52% | 0.84% | 462 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 77,707.73 (-3.6%) | 5.6 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 16% ±10 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 32% ±21 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 337 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,596.87 (-7.5%) | 12 | 1.9% | 16h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±9 | 23% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 802 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 80,606.3 | 79,800.34 | 81,486.36 | target | +2.75% |