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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 81,926.04 (+4.9%) | 14 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 89× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±14 | 24% ±25 | > 7d | 1.46% | 1.03% | 478 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 81,637.94–81,678.78 (+4.5%) | 13 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 3% ±3 | 48% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 22% ±20 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.18% | 703 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,735.66–80,764.07 (+3.4%) | 9.5 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 7% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±17 | 42% ±32 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.91% | 397 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 80,630.37–81,363.15 (+3.2%) | 9.1 | 2.0% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 78× | 12% ±8 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 32% ±19 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 390 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 79,483.48–79,496.69 (+1.7%) | 4.9 | 1.4% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 76× | 25% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 50% ±13 | 61 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±14 | 50% ±27 | 69% ±40 | 3.0d | 1.73% | 1.25% | 225 → 5 | |
| at post · 78,117.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 78,111.45 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 92% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 76% ±8 | 92% ±12 | 92% ±21 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 1.55% | 0.99% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,874.9 (-1.6%) | 4.5 | 1.3% | 9h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 21% ±10 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 35% ±20 | 50% ±33 | 6.4d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 372 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 75,958.93–76,325.31 (-2.3%) | 6.5 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 18% ±8 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 29% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 63% ±28 | 4.5d | 1.44% | 0.84% | 479 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 78,117.4 | 81,637.94 | 76,874.9 | stop | -1.43% |