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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 81,926.04 (+5.0%) | 16 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 89× | 2% ±4 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 21% ±27 | > 7d | 1.46% | 1.03% | 383 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 81,678.78 (+4.6%) | 15 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 3% ±3 | 52% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±10 | 19% ±20 | > 7d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 621 → 15 | |
| 30D VAH | 81,546.34 (+4.5%) | 14 | 1.5% | 9h | 6.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±19 | > 7d | 1.16% | 1.56% | 688 → 16 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,735.66–80,764.07 (+3.4%) | 11 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 5% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±17 | 37% ±33 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.91% | 355 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 80,630.37–81,363.15 (+3.3%) | 11 | 1.8% | 17h | 1.0d ago · 79× | 9% ±7 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 26% ±19 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 362 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 79,448.11–79,483.48 (+1.8%) | 5.8 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 76× | 20% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 50% ±13 | 61 | 2% ±2 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±29 | 65% ±42 | 3.3d | 1.73% | 1.25% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 78,111.45 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 71× | 87% ±13 | 47% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 65 | 68% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 97% ±16 | 2h | 1.40% | 0.84% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 78,050.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 76,874.9 (-1.5%) | 4.8 | 1.1% | 8h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 18% ±9 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 4% ±2 | 18% ±9 | 32% ±20 | 48% ±33 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 397 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 75,958.93–76,325.31 (-2.2%) | 7.1 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 17% ±8 | 53% ±10 | 18% ±7 | 29% ±9 | 102 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 39% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.8d | 1.44% | 0.86% | 472 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 78,050.7 | 76,874.9 | 81,546.34 | target | +1.34% |