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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 65,241.92–65,287 (+1.8%) | 3.2 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 32% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±10 | 95 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 61% ±16 | 74% ±22 | 1.9d | 1.38% | 1.17% | 635 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 64,330.37 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 83% ±12 | 53% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 72 | 61% ±6 | 83% ±12 | 87% ±19 | 90% ±27 | 2h | 1.40% | 0.95% | 221 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 64,132.98 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.1% | 2.2d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 91% ±8 | 39% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 52% ±9 | 129 | 80% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 96% ±10 | 98% ±11 | 1h | 1.25% | 1.15% | 290 → 7 | |
| at post · 64,096.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 62,321.6–63,234.2 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 98× | 51% ±12 | 52% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 124 | 16% ±4 | 52% ±12 | 69% ±19 | 78% ±26 | 22h | 1.44% | 0.92% | 407 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 63,016.78 (-1.7%) | 3.1 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 1.1d ago · 100× | 38% ±9 | 58% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 37% ±9 | 105 | 10% ±2 | 38% ±9 | 58% ±16 | 69% ±23 | 1.8d | 1.59% | 1.26% | 666 → 16 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 62,729.98–62,732.27 (-2.1%) | 3.9 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 1.1d ago · 85× | 28% ±12 | 48% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 6% ±2 | 28% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 61% ±34 | 2.9d | 1.38% | 0.96% | 333 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 61,969.13 (-3.3%) | 6.0 | 2.4% | 13h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 13% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 58 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 28% ±14 | 42% ±23 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.49% | 728 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 60,222.62 (-6.0%) | 11 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 20.3d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 39% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±9 | 26% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.51% | 911 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 64,096.7 | 63,016.78 | 65,287 | target | +1.93% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 64,096.7 | 62,729.98 | 64,755.4 | stop | +1.93% |