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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-07-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 65,220.82–65,287 (+2.0%) | 3.8 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 27% ±8 | 48% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±10 | 95 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 55% ±15 | 70% ±22 | 2.3d | 1.38% | 1.17% | 716 → 17 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 63,978.38–64,132.98 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 117× | 87% ±8 | 44% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 47% ±9 | 129 | 69% ±5 | 87% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.30% | 1.08% | 366 → 9 | |
| at post · 63,938.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 62,357.41–63,138.34 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 2.9% | 24h | 1.2d ago · 98× | 53% ±12 | 52% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 124 | 17% ±4 | 53% ±12 | 70% ±19 | 79% ±25 | 20h | 1.44% | 0.92% | 399 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 63,130.3 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 100× | 46% ±10 | 58% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 37% ±9 | 105 | 15% ±3 | 46% ±10 | 66% ±17 | 74% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.59% | 1.26% | 528 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 62,747.5–62,747.88 (-1.9%) | 3.5 | 4.6% | 1.8d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 32% ±13 | 48% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 53% ±24 | 63% ±36 | 2.7d | 1.38% | 0.96% | 304 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 61,650.91 (-3.6%) | 6.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 10% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 25% ±13 | 39% ±22 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.49% | 801 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 60,795.55–61,055.86 (-4.5%) | 8.6 | 1.1% | 4h | 7.9d ago · 46× | 15% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±10 | 31% ±23 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.25% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 60,188.16 (-5.9%) | 11 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 20.3d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 39% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±9 | 25% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.51% | 913 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 63,938.1 | 63,130.3 | 65,287 | target | +1.35% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 63,938.1 | 62,747.5 | 64,397.32 | stop | +1.35% |