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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 65,186.84 (+2.1%) | 4.0 | 2.6% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 28% ±9 | 53% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 54% ±18 | 67% ±26 | 2.5d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 560 → 13 | |
| 30D VAH | 64,898.34 (+1.6%) | 3.1 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 5.7d ago · 38× | 34% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 6% ±3 | 33% ±14 | 62% ±25 | 77% ±34 | 1.8d | 1.25% | 1.42% | 269 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 64,616.99–64,842.07 (+1.2%) | 2.2 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 2.6d ago · 78× | 60% ±13 | 54% ±9 | 18% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 106 | 21% ±4 | 60% ±12 | 82% ±17 | 91% ±19 | 17h | 1.69% | 1.13% | 358 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 64,316.05 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 1.6d ago · 89× | 72% ±11 | 50% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 99 | 43% ±5 | 71% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 88% ±20 | 6h | 1.47% | 1.03% | 399 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 63,895.63–63,969.87 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.5% | 2.4d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 88% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 136 | 75% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.41% | 0.96% | 322 → 8 | |
| at post · 63,875.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 62,985.13–63,041.4 (-1.3%) | 2.5 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 1.1d ago · 98× | 51% ±11 | 54% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±8 | 135 | 14% ±3 | 51% ±11 | 68% ±18 | 78% ±24 | 23h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 449 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 62,980.05 (-1.4%) | 2.7 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 20.8d ago · 56× | 42% ±12 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 64 | 10% ±3 | 42% ±12 | 58% ±21 | 67% ±31 | 1.7d | 1.27% | 1.45% | 383 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 62,647.5–62,766.43 (-1.7%) | 3.4 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 1.1d ago · 100× | 33% ±8 | 52% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 111 | 7% ±2 | 33% ±8 | 54% ±15 | 65% ±22 | 2.4d | 1.46% | 1.33% | 742 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 63,875.1 | 62,980.05 | 65,186.84 | expired | -0.66% |