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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,479 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 65,187.05 (+2.0%) | 4.1 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 27% ±9 | 53% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±9 | 53% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 2.6d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 583 → 14 | |
| 30D VAH | 64,954.62 (+1.6%) | 3.4 | 3.3% | 21h | 5.6d ago · 38× | 32% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±13 | 59% ±24 | 74% ±32 | 2.2d | 1.25% | 1.42% | 292 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 64,727.18 (+1.2%) | 2.6 | 4.6% | 1.8d | 1.4d ago · 89× | 39% ±10 | 50% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 99 | 10% ±3 | 39% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 74% ±24 | 1.6d | 1.47% | 1.03% | 540 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 64,560.72–64,842.07 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 2.4d ago · 78× | 61% ±13 | 54% ±9 | 18% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 106 | 22% ±4 | 61% ±13 | 82% ±17 | 91% ±20 | 16h | 1.69% | 1.13% | 342 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 63,969.87 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.1% | 2.7d | 19.9d ago · 70× | 88% ±11 | 44% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 84 | 72% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 1.33% | 0.87% | 193 → 5 | |
| at post · 63,928.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 63,909.63–63,920.74 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 7.3% | 2.5d | 1.4d ago · 115× | 91% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 136 | 79% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 94% ±12 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 1.27% | 0.95% | 275 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 63,035.6–63,082.68 (-1.3%) | 2.8 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 6.8d ago · 99× | 40% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 111 | 10% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 68% ±23 | 1.8d | 1.41% | 1.33% | 651 → 16 | |
| HVN zone | 62,985.13–63,041.4 (-1.4%) | 2.9 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 98× | 45% ±11 | 54% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±8 | 135 | 11% ±3 | 45% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 1.2d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 489 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 62,703.78 (-1.9%) | 4.0 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 20.1d ago · 37× | 26% ±10 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 47% ±20 | 58% ±31 | 3.6d | 1.41% | 1.47% | 425 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 63,928.9 | 62,703.78 | 64,954.62 | expired | -1.10% |