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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,477 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 66,054.02–66,105.2 (+3.1%) | 8.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 53× | 8% ±6 | 52% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±11 | 66 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 38% ±26 | > 7d | 1.98% | 0.75% | 529 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 65,210.17–65,286.31 (+1.7%) | 4.7 | 3.0% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 21% ±7 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.5d | 1.40% | 1.06% | 883 → 21 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 64,948.99–65,059.69 (+1.3%) | 3.6 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 1.6d ago · 116× | 30% ±9 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 139 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 55% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 2.4d | 1.29% | 1.05% | 590 → 14 | |
| 7D VAL | 64,120.04 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 1.9d | 7.6d ago · 75× | 92% ±11 | 46% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 77 | 84% ±6 | 92% ±11 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 1.56% | 1.05% | 158 → 4 | |
| at post · 64,090 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 63,981.19–64,002.18 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 6.0% | 2.1d | 5.1d ago · 84× | 89% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 99 | 69% ±6 | 89% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 1.35% | 0.89% | 260 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 63,562.9 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 3.0% | 18h | 20.4d ago · 56× | 47% ±14 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 64 | 13% ±4 | 48% ±14 | 62% ±23 | 69% ±34 | 1.0d | 1.27% | 1.45% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 63,392.61 (-1.1%) | 2.9 | 2.4% | 14h | 19.9d ago · 37× | 36% ±14 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 10% ±3 | 37% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 2.1d | 1.41% | 1.47% | 292 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 64,090 | 62,999.87 | 64,948.99 | expired | +0.66% |