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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 65,232.88–65,235.13 (+2.8%) | 7.5 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.7d ago · 89× | 9% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 27% ±12 | 40% ±20 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.06% | 960 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 64,948.99–65,027.15 (+2.3%) | 6.3 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 15% ±6 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 139 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 34% ±14 | 49% ±22 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.05% | 805 → 19 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 63,981.19–64,051.91 (+0.8%) | 2.2 | 6.0% | 2.1d | 6.9d ago · 81× | 49% ±14 | 45% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 99 | 15% ±4 | 49% ±14 | 72% ±22 | 81% ±29 | 1.0d | 1.51% | 0.87% | 286 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 63,750.88–65,030.4 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 3.9% | 24h | 2.7d ago · 78× | 76% ±11 | 54% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 27% ±8 | 108 | 49% ±5 | 76% ±11 | 90% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 5h | 1.65% | 1.13% | 379 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 63,497.82 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 21h | 21.1d ago · 50× | 81% ±21 | 42% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 53% ±14 | 50 | 69% ±10 | 81% ±20 | 87% ±29 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 1.58% | 1.29% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 63,462.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 63,392.61 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 15h | 20.4d ago · 37× | 90% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 70% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±16 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.41% | 1.47% | 122 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 63,462.3 | 63,981.19 | 63,060.96 | target | -0.51% |