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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,477 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 66,062.27–66,112.96 (+3.9%) | 12 | 0.8% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 53× | 5% ±4 | 52% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±11 | 66 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±12 | 29% ±23 | > 7d | 1.98% | 0.75% | 610 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 65,232.88–65,251.13 (+2.6%) | 7.7 | 2.5% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 8% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±12 | 40% ±20 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.06% | 961 → 23 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 64,948.99–64,994.62 (+2.2%) | 6.4 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.6d ago · 116× | 15% ±6 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 139 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 34% ±14 | 49% ±22 | 7.0d | 1.29% | 1.05% | 804 → 19 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 64,002.18–64,009.08 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 6.4d ago · 81× | 54% ±15 | 45% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 99 | 20% ±5 | 55% ±15 | 76% ±22 | 85% ±29 | 19h | 1.51% | 0.87% | 270 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 63,780.95–65,048.35 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.9% | 22h | 2.2d ago · 78× | 81% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 27% ±8 | 108 | 59% ±5 | 81% ±9 | 91% ±12 | 94% ±16 | 2h | 1.65% | 1.13% | 388 → 9 | |
| at post · 63,573.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 63,426.08–63,432.74 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.8% | 20h | 19.9d ago · 56× | 82% ±13 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 50% ±12 | 65 | 60% ±7 | 83% ±13 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 3h | 1.34% | 1.40% | 188 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 63,573.5 | 64,002.18 | 63,151.61 | stop | -0.30% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 63,573.5 | 64,009.08 | 63,097.57 | stop | -0.30% |