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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+3.1%) | 3.9 | 0.2% | 25m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 29% ±11 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 57% ±21 | 69% ±30 | 2.3d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 389 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,604.88 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 88% ±11 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 38% ±10 | 83 | 65% ±7 | 88% ±11 | 91% ±17 | 93% ±22 | 2h | 1.35% | 0.86% | 200 → 5 | |
| at post · 79,423.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 79,339.97 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 72× | 95% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 76 | 84% ±6 | 95% ±9 | 96% ±15 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.27% | 1.07% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 77,362.12–77,715.28 (-2.2%) | 2.7 | 5.1% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 44% ±11 | 48% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 146 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 65% ±19 | 77% ±25 | 1.6d | 1.34% | 0.91% | 441 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,764.99–76,860.01 (-3.2%) | 4.1 | 3.3% | 16h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 27% ±7 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 5% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 59% ±21 | 4.1d | 1.41% | 1.26% | 901 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.4%) | 8.0 | 0.3% | 55m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 11% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 23% ±18 | 34% ±31 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 385 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 65,453.99 (-17.6%) | 22 | 0.5% | 1h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 866 → 21 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–65,256 (-17.8%) | 22 | 1.8% | 17h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±6 | 56% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±7 | 146 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 15% ±22 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 1.44% | 0.93% | 172 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 79,423.8 | 77,362.12 | 80,098.96 | expired | -0.30% |