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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.7%) | 3.8 | 0.1% | 21m | 5.0d ago · 38× | 31% ±11 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±11 | 58% ±21 | 70% ±30 | 2.1d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 377 → 9 | |
| at post · 79,709.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 76,739.19–79,708.98 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.4% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 94% ±7 | 56% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±7 | 146 | 82% ±5 | 94% ±7 | 96% ±10 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.44% | 0.93% | 276 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 79,401.28–79,604.88 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 72× | 90% ±11 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 76 | 75% ±7 | 90% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 1h | 1.29% | 1.00% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 78,768.03 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 5.1% | 1.6d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 71% ±12 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 107 | 35% ±5 | 71% ±12 | 80% ±19 | 90% ±23 | 8h | 1.18% | 0.83% | 309 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 77,432.14–77,715.28 (-2.5%) | 3.4 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 36% ±11 | 48% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 146 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±11 | 61% ±19 | 74% ±26 | 1.9d | 1.41% | 0.95% | 459 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,703.68–76,926.96 (-3.5%) | 4.8 | 3.3% | 19h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 21% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 53% ±20 | 5.1d | 1.41% | 1.26% | 997 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.7%) | 9.2 | 0.3% | 50m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 9% ±7 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±17 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 397 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 67,235.86 (-15.6%) | 22 | 0.1% | 4m | 19.6d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 881 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 79,709.2 | 81,025.97 | 77,715.28 | expired | +0.37% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 79,709.2 | 82,387.12 | 78,768.03 | expired | +0.37% |