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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-04 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.8%) | 4.1 | 0.1% | 18m | 5.1d ago · 38× | 28% ±11 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 56% ±20 | 67% ±29 | 2.5d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 418 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 79,707.82–79,738.78 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 91% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 112 | 75% ±6 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.38% | 0.96% | 224 → 5 | |
| at post · 79,656.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 78,768.03 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 4.8d ago · 84× | 71% ±12 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 107 | 35% ±5 | 71% ±12 | 80% ±19 | 90% ±23 | 8h | 1.18% | 0.83% | 310 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 77,715.28 (-2.4%) | 3.6 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 114× | 40% ±11 | 48% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 44% ±8 | 146 | 8% ±2 | 40% ±11 | 66% ±18 | 82% ±23 | 1.5d | 1.31% | 0.95% | 468 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 77,432.14 (-2.8%) | 4.1 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 4.8d ago · 62× | 28% ±11 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 53% ±21 | 63% ±32 | 2.7d | 1.58% | 0.94% | 381 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,887.61–76,993.91 (-3.3%) | 4.9 | 3.5% | 23h | 6.3d ago · 99× | 21% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 53% ±20 | 5.0d | 1.41% | 1.26% | 993 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.6%) | 9.7 | 0.3% | 46m | 7.3d ago · 46× | 8% ±7 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±16 | 29% ±30 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 388 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 67,829.82 (-14.8%) | 22 | 0.2% | 17m | 19.7d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±7 | 14% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 877 → 21 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–65,058.02 (-18.3%) | 27 | 3.3% | 2.0d | 1.9d ago · 98× | 4% ±8 | 56% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±7 | 146 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±25 | 19% ±44 | > 7d | 1.44% | 0.93% | 134 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 79,656.2 | 77,715.28 | 80,215.46 | expired | -0.06% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 79,656.2 | 78,768.03 | 80,232.85 | expired | -0.06% |