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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.4%) | 10 | <0.1% | 5m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 947 → 23 | |
| at post · 80,001.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 76,739.19–79,906.97 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 91% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 147 | 70% ±5 | 91% ±7 | 95% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.93% | 386 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 79,769.13–79,805.72 (-0.2%) | 1.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 74% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±11 | 77 | 50% ±7 | 74% ±14 | 83% ±21 | 90% ±26 | 5h | 1.28% | 0.98% | 215 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 78,768.03 (-1.5%) | 6.9 | 1.7% | 13h | 4.6d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 107 | 2% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±17 | 43% ±27 | > 7d | 1.18% | 0.83% | 526 → 13 | |
| 7D POC | 78,144.44 (-2.3%) | 10 | 1.4% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 114× | 7% ±7 | 48% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 44% ±8 | 146 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 32% ±21 | 49% ±35 | > 7d | 1.31% | 0.95% | 343 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 77,432.14 (-3.2%) | 14 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 3% ±4 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±14 | 41% ±31 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.94% | 399 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,060.86 (-3.7%) | 16 | 1.3% | 9h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 23% ±19 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 811 → 19 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,826.3 (-4.0%) | 18 | 0.9% | 4h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±15 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 381 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-7.0%) | 31 | <0.1% | 15m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 1% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 4% ±27 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 68,819.75 (-14.0%) | 62 | 0.2% | 14m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±4 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 4% ±22 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 80,001.5 | 81,025.97 | 78,144.44 | expired | -0.44% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 80,001.5 | 82,746.37 | 78,768.03 | expired | -0.44% |