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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.7%) | 13 | <0.1% | 5m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 22% ±17 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 946 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 79,805.72–79,830.44 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 83% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 112 | 62% ±5 | 84% ±9 | 90% ±13 | 92% ±17 | 2h | 1.38% | 0.96% | 386 → 9 | |
| at post · 79,702.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 78,768.03 (-1.2%) | 5.4 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 84× | 15% ±8 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 107 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 41% ±18 | 52% ±28 | 5.1d | 1.18% | 0.83% | 519 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 78,144.44 (-2.0%) | 9.0 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.6d ago · 114× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 44% ±8 | 146 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 35% ±20 | 52% ±33 | 6.3d | 1.31% | 0.95% | 382 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 77,432.14 (-2.8%) | 13 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 4% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.94% | 415 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,060.86 (-3.3%) | 15 | 1.2% | 9h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 869 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,826.3 (-3.6%) | 17 | 0.8% | 3h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 4% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±15 | 31% ±29 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 421 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.7%) | 31 | <0.1% | 15m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 1% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 5% ±30 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 68,819.75 (-13.7%) | 63 | 0.2% | 14m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±4 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 4% ±23 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 63,276.14–65,058.02 (-18.4%) | 85 | 1.0% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 98× | building | 55% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 147 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.43% | 0.93% | 5 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 79,702.2 | 78,144.44 | 80,371.19 | expired | -0.21% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 79,702.2 | 78,768.03 | 80,299.8 | expired | -0.21% |