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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,490.86 (+4.5%) | 8.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 5% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 924 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,991.8 (+2.6%) | 4.9 | 1.8% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 89× | 20% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 64% ±20 | 3.3d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 956 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 79,518.5–79,606.26 (+2.0%) | 3.7 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 116× | 30% ±9 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 146 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 56% ±17 | 69% ±24 | 2.2d | 1.30% | 1.04% | 595 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 78,620.06 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 19.3d ago · 70× | 67% ±13 | 44% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 48% ±10 | 91 | 33% ±5 | 67% ±13 | 84% ±18 | 89% ±23 | 11h | 1.29% | 0.84% | 294 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 77,996.05–78,104.94 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 6.0d ago · 81× | 88% ±9 | 47% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 106 | 77% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 94% ±12 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 1.56% | 0.87% | 295 → 7 | |
| at post · 77,992.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 76,942.68 (-1.3%) | 2.6 | 3.1% | 20h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 43% ±12 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 60% ±20 | 68% ±30 | 1.5d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 394 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,145.23 (-2.4%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 24% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 41% ±18 | 54% ±28 | 4.7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 520 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-4.7%) | 8.9 | 0.2% | 34m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 9% ±7 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±16 | 30% ±28 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 423 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,870.1 (-18.1%) | 34 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 2% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 11% ±23 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 77,992.7 | 78,104.94 | 76,479.03 | open | — |