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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,490.86 (+4.6%) | 6.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 11% ±5 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 29% ±14 | 45% ±23 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 738 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,946.45 (+2.7%) | 3.6 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 89× | 29% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±8 | 58% ±15 | 73% ±21 | 2.1d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 774 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 79,518.5–79,606.26 (+2.1%) | 2.9 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 116× | 39% ±11 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 146 | 10% ±3 | 39% ±11 | 66% ±18 | 75% ±26 | 1.6d | 1.30% | 1.04% | 461 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 78,620.06–78,733.19 (+1.0%) | 1.3 | 6.5% | 2.0d | 5.9d ago · 81× | 68% ±12 | 45% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 106 | 38% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 85% ±16 | 92% ±19 | 9h | 1.48% | 0.79% | 338 → 8 | |
| at post · 77,873 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 77,859.98 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.3% | 1.4d | 6.1d ago · 99× | 87% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 72% ±6 | 87% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.48% | 1.21% | 204 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,879.85 (-1.3%) | 1.7 | 4.0% | 24h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 61% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 70 | 25% ±5 | 61% ±13 | 73% ±21 | 76% ±31 | 14h | 1.27% | 1.35% | 305 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-2.0%) | 2.7 | 1.2% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 42% ±15 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 13% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 59% ±25 | 69% ±37 | 1.7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 266 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-4.5%) | 6.1 | 0.3% | 50m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 15% ±9 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 45% ±33 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 366 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,672.12 (-18.2%) | 25 | 1.9% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 3% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±21 | 18% ±38 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 167 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 77,873 | 79,606.26 | 77,484.41 | open | — |