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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,292.87 (+5.2%) | 7.1 | 1.2% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 8% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 39% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 827 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,991.8 (+3.5%) | 4.8 | 2.5% | 1.0d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 21% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 65% ±20 | 3.3d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 953 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,518.5 (+2.9%) | 4.0 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 29% ±9 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 56% ±16 | 69% ±23 | 2.4d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 627 → 15 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 78,517.67–78,620.06 (+1.6%) | 2.2 | 6.2% | 1.8d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 47% ±13 | 40% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 51% ±8 | 146 | 15% ±4 | 47% ±13 | 77% ±19 | 83% ±25 | 1.1d | 1.28% | 1.03% | 367 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 77,723.9 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 7.2d ago · 75× | 83% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 83 | 65% ±6 | 83% ±11 | 88% ±17 | 92% ±22 | 2h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 251 → 6 | |
| at post · 77,251.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 77,225.39 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.5% | 2.5d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 93% ±8 | 47% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 109 | 79% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 96% ±11 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.18% | 0.94% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,879.85 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 78% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 70 | 56% ±7 | 78% ±14 | 85% ±20 | 88% ±29 | 3h | 1.27% | 1.35% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 1.2% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 75% ±16 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 40% ±7 | 75% ±16 | 87% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 7h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 170 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.7%) | 5.0 | 0.3% | 50m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 44% ±23 | 57% ±34 | 4.4d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 329 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,672.12 (-17.6%) | 24 | 1.8% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±20 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 77,251.8 | 79,518.5 | 76,879.85 | open | — |