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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-07 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+5.5%) | 8.5 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (+2.8%) | 4.3 | 0.8% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±14 | 13% ±47 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,573.48 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 15h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 2,560.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,549.88 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 24h | 15.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,514.2–2,515.98 (-1.7%) | 2.6 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 4.3d ago · 106× | 58% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 14% ±20 | 57% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,429.05–2,431.16 (-5.0%) | 7.7 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 7% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±7 | 6% ±20 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,384.13–2,387.48 (-6.8%) | 10 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 7% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 6% ±20 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-7.1%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,560.35 | 2,515.98 | 2,599.48 | target | +0.83% |