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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-07 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+5.1%) | 7.1 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 6% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (+2.4%) | 3.3 | 0.8% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 13% ±18 | 21% ±56 | 21% | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,576.16 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 17h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 2,572.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,549.88 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 15.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,514.2–2,515.98 (-2.2%) | 3.1 | 5.4% | 2.7d | 4.3d ago · 106× | 38% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 10% ±16 | 35% ±66 | 54% | 54% | 1.0d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,429.05–2,431.16 (-5.5%) | 7.7 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 7% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±7 | 5% ±20 | 5% ±32 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,384.13–2,387.48 (-7.2%) | 10 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 6% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 5% ±20 | 5% ±31 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-7.5%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 8% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±23 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,572.38 | 2,515.98 | 2,602.64 | target | +1.17% |