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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+4.9%) | 7.3 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,625.56 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 0.7% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 19% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 11% ±15 | 17% ±43 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,600.23 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 97× | 53% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 31% ±24 | 56% ±69 | 94% | 94% | 22h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 2,575.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,564.12 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,546.73 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 15.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,521.88 (-2.1%) | 3.1 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 72× | 58% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 16% ±17 | 72% ±51 | 95% | 95% | 19h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,509.29 (-2.6%) | 3.8 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±15 | 33% ±65 | 33% | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,438.41 (-5.3%) | 7.9 | 3.3% | 1.5d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,404.98 (-6.6%) | 9.8 | 2.0% | 14h | 4.2d ago · 59× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±18 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-7.3%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-7.6%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,575.28 | 2,600.23 | 2,509.29 | target | +3.48% |