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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+4.0%) | 5.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,625.56 (+1.1%) | 1.6 | 0.8% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,602.9 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 58% ±31 | 75% ±60 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 2,597.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,402.84–2,594.84 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 2,564.12 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 19h | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,549.41 (-1.8%) | 2.6 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 15.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,521.88 (-2.9%) | 4.2 | 4.6% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 72× | 79% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 12% ±17 | 79% ±57 | 94% | 94% | 19h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,511.96 (-3.3%) | 4.7 | 4.4% | 1.9d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±13 | 22% ±57 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,438.41 (-6.1%) | 8.8 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,402.3 (-7.5%) | 11 | 1.9% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 59× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-8.1%) | 12 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-8.4%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,597.33 | 2,564.12 | 2,619.27 | stop | -5.38% |