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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+3.5%) | 4.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,625.56 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 22.7d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 2,610.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,605.28 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,402.84–2,594.84 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,558.93–2,564.85 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 2.9% | 21h | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±16 | 59% ±68 | 59% | 59% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 2,515.67–2,521.88 (-3.4%) | 4.4 | 5.0% | 2.0d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 48% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±10 | 44% ±56 | 53% | 53% | 20h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,436.49 (-6.7%) | 8.7 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,404.12 (-7.9%) | 10 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 59× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±30 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-8.5%) | 11 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-8.8%) | 12 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,610.61 | 2,521.88 | 2,668.41 | stop | -6.77% |