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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.2d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 2,659 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 1.1% | 6h | 8.5d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D VAH | 2,612.64 (-1.7%) | 2.2 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,402.84–2,594.84 (-2.4%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,561.29–2,563.12 (-3.6%) | 4.6 | 3.1% | 22h | 4.3d ago · 106× | 22% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±7 | 22% ±40 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 2,518.21–2,521.88 (-5.2%) | 6.6 | 5.1% | 2.1d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,437.58 (-8.3%) | 11 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,403.3 (-9.6%) | 12 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 59× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-10.2%) | 13 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-10.5%) | 13 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,659 | 2,729.24 | 2,521.88 | target | +4.45% |