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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,083 (+3.0%) | 2.9 | <0.1% | 21m | 4.5d ago · 97× | 65% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 15% ±13 | 71% ±40 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 17h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 2,996.06 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.2% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 104× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 2,991.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,966.36–2,985.8 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 77% ±25 | 77% ±58 | 77% | 77% | 3h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,932.75 (-2.0%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 10h | 15.0d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,830.28–2,908.04 (-2.8%) | 2.6 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 9% ±12 | 32% ±46 | 32% | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,774.49 (-7.3%) | 6.9 | 1.3% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±29 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,674.76 (-10.6%) | 10 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,564.28 (-14.3%) | 14 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,426.9 (-18.9%) | 18 | 6.3% | 2.9d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,381.84 (-20.4%) | 19 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,285.96 (-23.6%) | 22 | 1.6% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,991.78 | 2,774.49 | 3,083 | stop | -5.03% |