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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,083 (+3.9%) | 3.6 | <0.1% | 21m | 4.6d ago · 97× | 69% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±11 | 69% ±41 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 18h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| at post · 2,967.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,966.36 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 20h | 4.2d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 58% ±31 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 83% | 3h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,947.06 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 1.8% | 18h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 67% ±29 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 75% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,830.28–2,908.04 (-2.0%) | 1.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 50% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 28% ±22 | 47% ±56 | 47% | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,779.19 (-6.3%) | 5.9 | 1.4% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 6% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±18 | 6% ±32 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,674.76 (-9.9%) | 9.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,392.88–2,616.44 (-11.8%) | 11 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,564.28 (-13.6%) | 13 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,426.9 (-18.2%) | 17 | 6.3% | 2.9d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,381.84 (-19.7%) | 18 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,276.24 (-23.3%) | 22 | 1.9% | 8h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,967.25 | 3,083 | 2,779.19 | target | +5.41% |