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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,142.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,098.8–3,102.96 (-1.3%) | 1.0 | 0.2% | 36m | 4.5d ago · 65× | 69% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 50% ±25 | 61% ±55 | 61% | 61% | 4h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,955.7–2,997.41 (-4.6%) | 3.6 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,969.06–2,970.1 (-5.5%) | 4.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 16% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±6 | 20% ±32 | 20% ±56 | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,830.56–2,903.56 (-7.6%) | 5.9 | 0.3% | 43m | 2.5d ago · 47× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 10% ±41 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,837.24 (-9.7%) | 7.5 | 0.3% | 35m | 4.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,684.56 (-14.6%) | 11 | 0.2% | 28m | 8.5d ago · 38× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,571.97 (-18.1%) | 14 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,429.07 (-22.7%) | 18 | 7.8% | 3.7d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,246.57 (-28.5%) | 22 | 2.2% | 11h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.