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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,153.84 (+0.8%) | 0.7 | <0.1% | 31m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 83% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±48 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,131.71 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 81% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 71% ±23 | 82% ±43 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 3,127.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,955.7–2,997.41 (-4.2%) | 3.4 | 3.0% | 18h | 1.5d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,968.48–2,969.37 (-5.1%) | 4.1 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 21% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±6 | 21% ±32 | 21% ±56 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,830.56–2,903.56 (-7.2%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 38m | 2.5d ago · 47× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 10% ±42 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,899.32 (-7.3%) | 6.0 | 0.2% | 19m | 4.1d ago · 85× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±29 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,684.56 (-14.2%) | 12 | 0.2% | 26m | 8.4d ago · 38× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,575.1 (-17.7%) | 14 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,429.07 (-22.3%) | 18 | 7.5% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,236.14 (-28.5%) | 23 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.