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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,180 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 0.1% | 39m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 83% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 80% ±22 | 87% ±47 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,163.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,094.48–3,126.55 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 82% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 50% ±25 | 82% ±44 | 82% | 82% | 4h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,124.8 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 0.4% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,955.51–3,008.96 (-4.9%) | 4.0 | 2.4% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,967.48–2,967.76 (-6.2%) | 5.1 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 12% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±26 | 12% ±45 | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,904 (-8.2%) | 6.7 | 0.2% | 42m | 4.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,677.57 (-15.4%) | 13 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,584.23 (-18.3%) | 15 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,426.36 (-23.3%) | 19 | 7.4% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,228.59 (-29.6%) | 24 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.