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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,284.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,269.32 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 0.2% | 24m | 15.0d ago · 55× | 64% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 60% ±27 | 67% ±65 | 67% | 67% | 2h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,152.75 (-4.0%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 10% ±13 | 24% ±48 | 52% | 52% | 2.0d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,092.85–3,116.51 (-5.1%) | 4.5 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 19% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±31 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.89–3,021.87 (-8.0%) | 7.1 | 1.6% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,969.7–2,969.82 (-9.6%) | 8.5 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,908.85 (-11.4%) | 10 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,678.82 (-18.4%) | 16 | 0.2% | 49m | 8.4d ago · 38× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,596.2 (-21.0%) | 19 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,436.31 (-25.8%) | 23 | 7.1% | 3.0d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,205.64 (-32.8%) | 29 | 0.9% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,284.43 | 3,957.55 | 2,969.7 | expired | +3.35% |