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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,423.47 (+1.3%) | 1.2 | <0.1% | 10m | 4.5d ago · 70× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 80% ±22 | 87% ±47 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,379.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,252.85–3,370.97 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 0.3% | 52m | 2.5d ago · 47× | 92% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 50% ±28 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 83% | 4h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,154.8 (-6.6%) | 5.9 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 12% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±31 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,937.86–3,016.6 (-10.7%) | 9.5 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,972.03–2,972.23 (-12.0%) | 11 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,906.79 (-14.0%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 2,675.36 (-20.8%) | 18 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,596.62 (-23.2%) | 20 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,432.56 (-28.0%) | 25 | 7.3% | 3.4d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,176.62 (-35.6%) | 31 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.