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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-20 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,662.71 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 46% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 21% ±19 | 32% ±53 | 95% | 95% | 2.4d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 3,590.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,486.82–3,502.45 (-2.4%) | 3.0 | 0.2% | 54m | 2.5d ago · 47× | 18% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±7 | 18% ±28 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,458.55 (-3.7%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 26% ±61 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,939.62–3,033.42 (-15.5%) | 19 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 2,965.26–2,970.94 (-17.3%) | 21 | 2.7% | 21h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±18 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,930 (-18.4%) | 22 | 0.9% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,900.79 (-19.2%) | 23 | 0.1% | 16m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,431.5 (-32.3%) | 39 | 5.5% | 2.7d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-41.2%) | 50 | <0.1% | 5m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.