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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,659.22 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 94% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 78% ±20 | 94% ±26 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 3,653.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,489.08–3,504.92 (-4.1%) | 4.8 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±27 | 13% ±47 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,480.8 (-4.7%) | 5.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 23% ±58 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,934.68–3,045.56 (-16.6%) | 20 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,040.93 (-16.8%) | 20 | 1.4% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 2,973.39–2,982.2 (-18.4%) | 22 | 2.6% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,930 (-19.8%) | 23 | 0.9% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,895.86 (-20.7%) | 24 | 0.1% | 7m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,435.72 (-33.3%) | 39 | 5.7% | 2.6d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-42.2%) | 50 | <0.1% | 5m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,653.53 | 2,973.39 | 3,796.62 | stop | -2.95% |