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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-20 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,710.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,667.83 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 62% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 43% ±22 | 62% ±55 | 62% | 62% | 7h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,491.64–3,507.7 (-5.5%) | 6.2 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 9% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±19 | 8% ±32 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,496.21 (-5.8%) | 6.5 | 0.3% | 58m | 4.5d ago · 65× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 21% ±57 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,929.75–3,042.13 (-18.0%) | 20 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,969.7–2,977.92 (-19.7%) | 22 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 3% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,930 (-21.0%) | 24 | 1.0% | 9h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,902.92 (-21.8%) | 25 | 0.2% | 28m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,424.05 (-34.7%) | 39 | 6.1% | 2.9d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-43.1%) | 49 | <0.1% | 6m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,710.15 | 4,475.06 | 2,969.7 | expired | +1.80% |