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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,848.55 (+2.2%) | 1.8 | 0.2% | 38m | 4.6d ago · 97× | 61% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 38% ±20 | 63% ±47 | 96% | 96% | 7h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 3,766.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,723.57 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 0.7% | 4h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 67% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 52% ±19 | 66% ±41 | 66% ±66 | 66% | 3h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,565.87 (-5.3%) | 4.5 | 1.4% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 23% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±5 | 23% ±31 | 23% ±58 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,473.52–3,508.46 (-6.9%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 8% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±30 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,310.99 (-12.1%) | 10 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,932.01–3,054.28 (-18.9%) | 16 | 1.7% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,019.35 (-19.8%) | 17 | 2.0% | 10h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,978.5 (-20.9%) | 18 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,891.24 (-23.2%) | 20 | 0.2% | 7m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.16 (-35.4%) | 30 | 6.9% | 3.4d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-44.0%) | 37 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,766.53 | 3,565.87 | 3,945.31 | expired | +1.31% |