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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,830.02 (+2.0%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 58% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 38% ±19 | 59% ±48 | 96% | 96% | 7h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,760.5 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 104× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 3,755.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,724.24 (-0.8%) | 0.7 | 0.9% | 5h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 64% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 54% ±20 | 65% ±47 | 65% | 65% | 2h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,473.52–3,508.46 (-6.6%) | 5.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 11% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±21 | 10% ±34 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,320.26 (-11.6%) | 9.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,932.01–3,054.28 (-18.7%) | 15 | 1.7% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,019.35 (-19.6%) | 16 | 2.1% | 10h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 14D POC | 2,969.53 (-20.9%) | 17 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,896.06 (-22.9%) | 18 | 0.2% | 18m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.16 (-35.2%) | 28 | 7.2% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-43.8%) | 35 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.