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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,768.57 (+3.7%) | 2.9 | 1.8% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 58% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 12% ±9 | 57% ±34 | 80% ±45 | 80% | 21h | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,648.61 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 91% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 73% ±18 | 88% ±31 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| at post · 3,632.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,587.6 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 55% ±22 | 77% ±47 | 77% | 77% | 3h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,545.45 (-2.4%) | 1.9 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 20% ±22 | 40% ±68 | 40% | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,485.25–3,500.15 (-3.7%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 16% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±29 | 31% ±52 | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,395.83 (-6.5%) | 5.1 | 1.0% | 4h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,933.84–3,038.16 (-16.4%) | 13 | 2.2% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 14D POC | 2,971.43 (-18.2%) | 14 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,899.86 (-20.2%) | 16 | 0.3% | 32m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-33.0%) | 26 | 7.3% | 3.4d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-34.8%) | 27 | <0.1% | 19m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,632.84 | 3,587.6 | 3,505.29 | target | +0.86% |