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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,758.66 (+3.2%) | 2.4 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 52% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 15% ±10 | 52% ±35 | 77% ±48 | 77% | 22h | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,648.61 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 14h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 95% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 91% ±13 | 95% ±24 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 3,641.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,587.6 (-1.5%) | 1.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 68% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 50% ±21 | 71% ±45 | 71% | 71% | 4h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,545.45 (-2.6%) | 2.0 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 19% ±20 | 39% ±68 | 39% | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,485.25–3,500.15 (-3.9%) | 3.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 15% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±28 | 31% ±52 | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,410.73 (-6.3%) | 4.8 | 1.2% | 5h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,948.74–3,038.16 (-16.6%) | 13 | 2.3% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 14D POC | 2,971.43 (-18.4%) | 14 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,899.86 (-20.4%) | 15 | 0.3% | 33m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-33.1%) | 25 | 7.4% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-35.0%) | 27 | <0.1% | 19m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,641.69 | 2,971.43 | 3,783.39 | expired | -1.70% |