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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-24 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,750.64 (+1.7%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 54% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 43% ±19 | 54% ±49 | 79% | 79% | 7h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| at post · 3,686.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,574.66–3,664.08 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 78% ±20 | 78% ±47 | 78% | 78% | 2h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 3,621.55–3,644.89 (-1.1%) | 0.8 | 2.8% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 72% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 51% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 3h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,546.04 (-3.8%) | 2.9 | 1.9% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 10% ±13 | 30% ±52 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,485.25–3,500.15 (-5.0%) | 3.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 12% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±25 | 34% ±54 | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,440.54 (-6.7%) | 5.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,968.83 (-19.5%) | 15 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,899.63 (-21.3%) | 16 | 0.3% | 34m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-34.0%) | 25 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-35.8%) | 27 | <0.1% | 20m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,686.22 | 3,621.55 | 3,787.47 | target | +1.29% |