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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,739.49 (+2.5%) | 1.7 | 3.1% | 22h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 47% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 32% ±16 | 49% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 1.0d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,723.69–3,738.6 (+2.1%) | 1.4 | 3.1% | 21h | 1.7d ago · 83× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 50% ±26 | 86% ±47 | 94% | 94% | 3h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,647.72 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.3% | 18h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 94% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±24 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 3,647.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,642.15 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.3% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 87% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 71% ±23 | 88% ±36 | 88% | 88% | 2h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,552.44 (-2.6%) | 1.7 | 2.3% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 40% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 25% ±20 | 41% ±56 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,485.25–3,500.15 (-4.0%) | 2.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 17% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±29 | 29% ±51 | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,485.25 (-4.4%) | 3.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,948.74–3,023.26 (-17.1%) | 12 | 2.5% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,993.53 (-17.9%) | 12 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,902.8 (-20.4%) | 14 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-33.2%) | 22 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-35.1%) | 24 | <0.1% | 23m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,647.05 | 3,739.49 | 3,552.44 | target | +2.74% |