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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,857.82 (+5.3%) | 3.8 | <0.1% | 20m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 10% ±13 | 48% ±57 | 95% | 95% | 1.1d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,766.21 (+2.8%) | 2.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 45% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 24% ±14 | 49% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 1.0d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,723.69–3,738.6 (+1.6%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 83× | 86% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 50% ±26 | 83% ±52 | 94% | 94% | 3h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 3,664.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,574.66–3,664.08 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.0% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 76% ±21 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 82% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,623.84–3,642.15 (-0.6%) | 0.4 | 3.4% | 19h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 88% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 67% ±21 | 90% ±33 | 90% | 90% | 2h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,582.98 (-2.2%) | 1.6 | 3.0% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 50% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 27% ±20 | 42% ±56 | 42% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,515.05 (-4.1%) | 2.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,485.25–3,500.15 (-4.5%) | 3.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 19% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±6 | 18% ±25 | 28% ±51 | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,160.66 (-13.7%) | 9.8 | 0.8% | 6h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 3% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±21 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-33.6%) | 24 | 6.3% | 3.1d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-35.4%) | 25 | <0.1% | 22m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,664.1 | 3,766.21 | 3,582.98 | target | +2.65% |