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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-26 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,829.49 (+2.8%) | 3.7 | 0.3% | 59m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 46% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 7% ±9 | 40% ±43 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1.3d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,769.62 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 97× | 53% ±44 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 35% ±15 | 58% ±39 | 82% ±53 | 82% | 14h | 2.44% | 1.72% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,729.04–3,730.34 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 18h | 4.4d ago · 104× | 94% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 84% ±17 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 3,726.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,589.57–3,678.99 (-1.3%) | 1.7 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 64% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 37% ±25 | 61% ±68 | 69% | 69% | 17h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,621.43 (-2.8%) | 3.8 | 2.2% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 17% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 15% ±32 | 15% ±50 | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,574.66 (-4.1%) | 5.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,366.79 (-9.7%) | 13 | 0.7% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,172.29–3,321.32 (-10.9%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-34.7%) | 46 | 2.6% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-36.5%) | 49 | <0.1% | 10m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,726.74 | 3,621.43 | 3,769.62 | stop | -2.36% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,726.74 | 3,366.79 | 3,829.49 | stop | -2.36% |