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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-26 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,857.82 (+3.0%) | 4.3 | <0.1% | 6m | 22.6d ago · 44× | 23% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±11 | 23% ±41 | 54% | 96% | 2.5d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,829.49 (+2.3%) | 3.2 | 0.2% | 55m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 50% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 11% ±12 | 44% ±49 | 96% | 96% | 1.3d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,769.62 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 77% ±34 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 60% ±15 | 78% ±31 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 2h | 2.44% | 1.72% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,743.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,729.04–3,730.34 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 2.2% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 91% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±19 | 85% ±35 | 85% | 85% | 3h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,621.43 (-3.3%) | 4.6 | 2.1% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 9% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±19 | 8% ±31 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,366.79 (-10.1%) | 14 | 0.7% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,172.29–3,321.32 (-11.3%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,948.74–3,008.35 (-19.6%) | 28 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,971.1 (-20.6%) | 29 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,620.88 (-30.0%) | 42 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.