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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-27 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,868.97 (+1.2%) | 1.6 | <0.1% | 12m | 22.6d ago · 44× | 62% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 40% ±27 | 67% ±65 | 73% | 93% | 5h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,850.19 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 87% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 71% ±14 | 88% ±24 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 1h | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| at post · 3,821.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,774.34 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 46% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 44% ±26 | 51% ±69 | 51% | 51% | 22h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,583.7–3,763.87 (-1.5%) | 1.9 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 53% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 29% ±23 | 50% ±57 | 58% | 58% | 21h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,728.84–3,732.82 (-2.3%) | 2.9 | 2.6% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 34% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 7% ±9 | 32% ±37 | 34% ±66 | 34% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,614.19 (-5.4%) | 6.8 | 2.2% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,493.61–3,508.62 (-8.2%) | 10 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 12% ±32 | 18% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,408.87 (-10.8%) | 14 | 0.8% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,975.61 (-22.1%) | 28 | 2.7% | 19h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,742.89 (-28.2%) | 35 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,821.33 | 3,732.82 | 3,929.63 | stop | +0.92% |